Betty Sue

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 81

Keeneland · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength29%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.6

Today:

Class gap: +2.0

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Churchill Downs	Assael Espinoza	?	5th	-1th	+5	5.0
2026-07-31	Ellis Park	Abel Cedillo	?	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength49%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
31/07/2026	2nd	10/1	47%	86%	+0.38
12/09/2026	5th	20/1	0%	33%	+0.33