2

Girls Wear Pearls

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 76

Keeneland · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1233/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 77 par24/07C6OR 77C6 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 76 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 76 par22/08C6OR 76C0 @ Belmont Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 80 par3/10C?OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Belmont ParkJose Morelos?6th0th+5
2026-08-22Del MarUmberto Rispoli?1st2nd−1
2026-07-24SaratogaFlavien Prat?5th6th−1
2026-07-03SaratogaFlavien Prat?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0724/0722/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
24/07/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
22/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
03/10/20266th50/10%17%+0.17