3

Master Queen

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 81

Keeneland · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f Gd 11922/07C6C5 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 92 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 92 par30/08C5OR 92C5 @ Keeneland 02/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 84 par2/10C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02KeenelandLuis Fuenmayor?2nd1st+1
2026-08-30Kentucky DownsLuis Fuenmayor?11th10th+1
2026-07-22Colonial DownsLuis Fuenmayor?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0730/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 26/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%

Delivery trend -30.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
30/08/202611th16/116%0%-0.16
02/10/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12