Booth
5yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 1 · OR 108
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Keeneland | Jose Ortiz | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lone Star | Erik Asmussen | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Oaklawn Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Ellis Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 17/05/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/06/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |