Extra Anejo
6yo Horse · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 104
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Remington Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | Florent Geroux | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | Jose Ortiz | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | Jose Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Saratoga | Ben Curtis | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2025-06-29 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | BHA110 | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/05/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/10/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |