Sir Greylind
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 9 · OR 110
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2025-12-20 | Fair Grounds | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Churchill Downs | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Churchill Downs | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | J R Leparoux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 04/01/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/01/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 16/02/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |