2
Steeze
4yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Keeneland | Junior Alvarado | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Ellis Park | Axel Concepcion | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | Jaime Torres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | Edgard Zayas | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | Junior Alvarado | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Gulfstream | Junior Alvarado | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 61/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 10/10/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |