Will Take It
5yo Horse · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 107
Keeneland · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-02-05 | Oaklawn Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Fair Grounds | Axel Concepcion | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Churchill Downs | Brian Jr Hernandez | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | Mike Smith | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |