Kerry's Kiss
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 99
Keeneland · Race 4 - Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint - Grade 1 · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | Edwin Gonzalez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-04-02 | Oaklawn Park | Luis Quinonez | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-02-26 | Oaklawn Park | Luis Quinonez | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 18% | -0.63 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |