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Majestic Oops

6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 108

Keeneland · Race 4 - Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint - Grade 1 · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength7%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saratoga 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 109 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 109 par23/08C?OR 109C3 @ Delaware Park 28/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 113 · 1m1f 117 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 113 parC0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 103 · 1m1f Fas 124 · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 103 par1/11C?OR 103C5 @ Oaklawn Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 108 · 6f 115 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Oaklawn Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 106 · 1m110y Slo 119 · beat its mark07/03/2026 · OR 106 par7/03C?OR 106C1 @ Oaklawn Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m110y 121C0 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 113 · 1m110y Fas 120 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 113 par30/05C?OR 113C0 @ Del Mar 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 108 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 109 · 1m110y Fas 124 · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 109 par27/09C?OR 109projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Santa AnitaUmberto Rispoli?2nd2nd−0
2026-08-02Del MarJoel Rosario?4th4th0
2026-05-30Churchill DownsFrancisco Arrieta?3rd3rd−0
2026-04-11Oaklawn ParkFrancisco Arrieta?3rd4th−1
2026-03-07Oaklawn ParkFrancisco Arrieta?1st1st−0
2026-02-13Oaklawn ParkFrancisco Arrieta?1st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0813/0230/0527/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength14%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
28/09/20254th9/488%25%-0.63
01/11/20259th50/10%27%+0.27
13/02/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/03/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
11/04/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
30/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
02/08/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
27/09/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02