3
Praying
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 4 - Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint - Grade 1 · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Keeneland | John Velazquez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | John Velazquez | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | John Velazquez | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | Eric Cancel | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Keeneland | Joel Rosario | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | John Velazquez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 03/10/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |