2
Ways And Means
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 113
Keeneland · Race 4 - Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint - Grade 1 · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Jose Ortiz | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Del Mar | Flavien Prat | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 79/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2024 | 1st | 1/10 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2024 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 29/09/2024 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 02/11/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 06/06/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |