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15

Big Mojo

4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 15 · OR 113

Keeneland · Race 5 - Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth in the Juvenile Turf Sprint at this meeting 2 years ago. Scored at the highest level last year in Haydock's Sprint Cup but has found consistency hard to come by this season, his standout effort coming when winning the Group 3 Phoenix Sprint Stakes at the Curragh. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newmarket 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 108 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 108 par12/071OR 1081 @ Goodwood 01/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 115 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 115 par1 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 115 · 6f Gd 129 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 115 par6/091OR 1151 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 19 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 129 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 117 par1 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 141 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 117 par13/051OR 1171 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 26 · OR 117 · 5f GF 133 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 117 par1 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 115 · 6f GF 134 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 115 par11/071OR 1151 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 113 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 113 · 6f Sft 131 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 113 par5/091OR 113projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05HaydockW Buick13rd3rd0
2026-08-09CurraghTom Marquand11st2nd−0
2026-07-11NewmarketW Buick110th10th0
2026-06-16Royal AscotTom Marquand18th8th0
2026-05-13YorkTom Marquand17th7th−0
2025-10-18AscotTom Marquand110th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0718/1011/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 11-18 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20252nd12/137%92%+0.55
01/08/20255th11/486%64%-0.22
06/09/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
18/10/202510th7/163%50%-0.13
13/05/20267th8/158%50%-0.08
16/06/20268th11/142%72%+0.30
11/07/202610th12/137%10%-0.27
09/08/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
05/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19