IvyArcIvyArc
9

In Our Time

5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 112

Keeneland · Race 5 - Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed herself a smart mare with success in Grade 2 Giant Causeway over C&D in April. Followed that with some lesser efforts but got back to winning ways right at the top level in the Ladies Turf Sprint Stakes at Kentucky Downs in August. Freshened up for this since but it will be tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 109 · 1m 122 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 109 par30/08C1OR 109C6 @ Kentucky Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 108 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Keeneland 12/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 112 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 112 par12/10C?OR 112C0 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 114 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 114 par24/01C?OR 114C0 @ Keeneland 12/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 112 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 112 parC0 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 114 · 5f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 114 par4/06C?OR 114C0 @ Saratoga 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 113 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 113 parC0 @ Kentucky Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 113 · 6f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 113 par29/08C?OR 113projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Kentucky DownsMicah Husbands?1st1st0
2026-07-11SaratogaFlavien Prat?3rd3rd−0
2026-06-04SaratogaFlavien Prat?5th5th−0
2026-04-12KeenelandFlavien Prat?1st1st−0
2026-01-24GulfstreamIrad Ortiz Jr?9th9th−0
2025-11-30Del MarJavier Castellano?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0830/114/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 11-18 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
10/09/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
12/10/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
30/11/20252nd16/116%88%+0.72
24/01/20269th4/179%27%-0.52
12/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/06/20265th9/488%50%-0.38
11/07/20263rd13/891%50%-0.41
29/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47