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16

No Nay Hudson

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 16 · OR 113

Keeneland · Race 5 - Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quite sparingly campaigned for his age but does have a C&D success to his name. Runner-up in a pair of Grade 2s on last 2 starts and is likely to find this company too hot should he get in. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fair Grounds 15/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 110 · 5f110y Fm 118 · below its mark15/02/2025 · OR 110 par15/02C5OR 110C5 @ Keeneland 18/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 112 · 5f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark18/04/2025 · OR 112 parC5 @ Pimlico 17/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 111 · 5f Gd 122 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 111 par17/05C5OR 111C3 @ Del Mar 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 110 · 5f Fm 121 · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 110 parC0 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 113 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 113 par4/10C?OR 113C5 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 111 · 5f Fm 124 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 111 parC0 @ Keeneland 04/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 115 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 115 par4/04C?OR 115C2 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 123C0 @ Keeneland 03/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 117 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 117 par3/10C?OR 117projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03KeenelandJose Ortiz?2nd2nd−0
2026-08-22Del MarJuan Hernandez?2nd4th−2
2026-04-04KeenelandJoel Rosario?7th7th−0
2025-11-30Del MarPablo Morales?6th11th−4
2025-10-04WoodbinePablo Morales?1st1st−0
2025-08-31Del MarKazushi Kimura?4th7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0231/084/043/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20254th7/491%50%-0.41
18/04/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
17/05/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
31/08/20254th12/137%73%+0.36
04/10/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
30/11/20256th13/266%44%-0.21
04/04/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
22/08/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
03/10/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27