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8

Possiblemente

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 108

Keeneland · Race 5 - Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#15

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★ Timeform

Commentary

Battle-hardened sort who seemed better than ever when winning 11-runner Grade 2 Turf Sprint Stakes at Kentucky Downs last time. Has a good record this season but this may be a step too far.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 102 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 102 par4/10C6OR 102C6 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 104 parC8 @ Turfway Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 103 · 1m 120 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 103 par9/01C8OR 103C6 @ Turfway Park 18/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 102 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Turfway Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 105 par13/03C6OR 105C0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 112 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 112 parC1 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 115 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 115 par30/05C1OR 115C5 @ Saratoga 05/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 110 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 110 parC0 @ Kentucky Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 110 · 6f 123 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 110 par5/09C?OR 110projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Kentucky DownsJose Ortiz?1st1st−0
2026-07-05SaratogaJose Ortiz?2nd7th−4
2026-05-30WoodbineEswan Flores?1st2nd−0
2026-05-02Churchill DownsManuel Franco?5th5th−0
2026-03-13Turfway ParkRafael Hernandez?1st7th−5
2026-02-18Turfway ParkRafael Hernandez?1st7th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1018/0230/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20256th6/168%58%-0.10
21/11/20256th7/282%44%-0.37
09/01/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
18/02/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
02/05/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
30/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/07/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25
05/09/20261st11/271%100%+0.29