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6

Yellow Card

5yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 116

Keeneland · Race 5 - Prevagen Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a promising start to the season winning non-graded stakes at Santa Anita in February and quickly regained the winning thread in the Grade 2 Turf Sprint at Churchill Downs when last seen in May. Has gone well fresh before but this is tough after 6 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kentucky Downs 07/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 108 · 6f110y Fm 118 · beat its mark07/09/2024 · OR 108 par7/09C?OR 108C6 @ Del Mar 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 111 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 111 parC6 @ Del Mar 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 114 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 114 par24/08C6OR 114C0 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 114 · 6f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 114 parC5 @ Del Mar 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 115 · 5f Fm 122 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 115 par30/11C5OR 115C0 @ Santa Anita 29/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 118 · 6f110y Fm 121 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 118 parC5 @ Santa Anita 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 119 · 6f Fm 122 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 119 par8/02C5OR 119C0 @ Keeneland 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 119 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 119 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 119 · 5f110y Fm 121 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 119 par2/05C?OR 119projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02Churchill DownsFlavien Prat?1st1st−0
2026-04-04KeenelandFlavien Prat?2nd2nd−0
2026-02-08Santa AnitaEmisael Jaramillo?1st6th−4
2025-12-29Santa AnitaKazushi Kimura?6th6th−0
2025-11-30Del MarKazushi Kimura?5th10th−4
2025-09-27Santa AnitaKazushi Kimura?2nd2nd−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0927/098/022/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength60%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20242nd11/271%91%+0.20
26/07/20252nd5/287%86%-0.01
24/08/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
27/09/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
30/11/20255th2/189%56%-0.34
29/12/20256th11/271%44%-0.27
08/02/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
04/04/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
02/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14