10
Owen Almighty
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 105
Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile - Grade 1 · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Churchill Downs | Francisco Arrieta | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Ellis Park | Luis Saez | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | John Velazquez | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | Joel Rosario | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | Joel Rosario | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-10-18 | Keeneland | Luis Saez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |