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8

Jancis

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 123

Keeneland · Race 7 - Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 1f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned with a career-best effort when winning Group 2 at Newmarket in May. Failed to add to that but made the places in Duke of Cambridge at Royal Ascot in June and in E. P. Taylor Stakes at Woodbine last month. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 28/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 105 · 1m2f Gd 138 · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 105 par28/061OR 1051 @ Ascot 26/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 104 · 7f213y Goo 131 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 104 par1 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 104 · 1m Goo 132 · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 104 par7/081OR 1041 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 103 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 103 par1 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 102 · 1m1f GF 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 102 par3/051OR 1021 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 113 · 1m Goo 128 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 112 · 7f213y GF 131 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 112 par17/061OR 1121 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 112 · 1m GF 135 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 112 parC0 @ Woodbine 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 113 · 1m2f Fm 125 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 113 par12/09C?OR 113projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12WoodbineHector Berrios?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10NewmarketS M Levey15th5th0
2026-06-17Royal AscotS M Levey12nd2nd−0
2026-05-24CurraghS M Levey15th5th−0
2026-05-03NewmarketS M Levey11st1st−0
2025-11-07DundalkBilly Lee12nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/067/1117/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20255th33/10%33%+0.33
26/07/20254th5/174%63%-0.11
07/08/20256th11/486%0%-0.86
07/11/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
03/05/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
24/05/20265th2/189%64%-0.26
17/06/20262nd16/116%93%+0.77
10/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
12/09/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03