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11

Precise

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 11 · OR 115

Keeneland · Race 7 - Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf - Grade 1 · 1m 1f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual Group 1 winning juvenile who added to that with success in Irish 1000 Guineas at the Curragh and Coronation at Royal Ascot at the beginning of the season. Only one blip since and proved her effectiveness over longer trips when second in Prix de l'Opera at Longchamp last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newmarket 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 111 · 1m Goo 128 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 111 par10/101OR 1111 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 115 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 114 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 114 par24/051OR 1141 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 115 · 7f213y GF 128 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 115 · 1m GF 126 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 115 par10/071OR 1151 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 115 · 7f209y Sft 123 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 115 · 7f209y GS 121 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 115 par16/081OR 1151 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 115 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 115 · 1m1f207y GS 123 · beat its mark04/10/2026 · OR 115 par4/101OR 115projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04ParisLongchampR L Moore12nd2nd0
2026-09-12LeopardstownR L Moore15th5th0
2026-08-16DeauvilleR L Moore13rd3rd0
2026-08-02DeauvilleR L Moore12nd2nd0
2026-07-10NewmarketR L Moore12nd2nd0
2026-06-19Royal AscotR L Moore11st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1019/0616/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
03/05/20267th9/591%67%-0.24
24/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
19/06/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
10/07/20262nd4/596%83%-0.12
02/08/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06
16/08/20263rd15/890%78%-0.12
12/09/20265th3/184%50%-0.34
04/10/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09