6
American Stage
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 118
Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Meydan | Ryusei Sakai | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Del Mar | Ryusei Sakai | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Meydan | Oisin Murphy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Meydan | Oisin Murphy | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 05/04/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |