7
Built
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 105
Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |