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2

Dark Saffron

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 111

Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Meydan 14/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 13114/03C5C0 @ Meydan 05/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f Fas 123C5 @ Meydan 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f Fas 1307/11C5C1 @ Meydan 05/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 131C1 @ Meydan 02/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 1302/01C1C1 @ Meydan 23/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 130C1 @ Meydan 30/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 13130/01C1C1 @ Meydan 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 109 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 109 parC0 @ Meydan 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 111 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 111 par28/03C?OR 111projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-28MeydanConnor Beasley?1st1st0
2026-02-28MeydanConnor Beasley?2nd3rd−0
2026-01-30MeydanConnor Beasley?6th7th−1
2026-01-23MeydanConnor Beasley?6th7th−0
2026-01-02MeydanConnor Beasley?5th6th−0
2025-12-05MeydanConnor Beasley?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/035/1230/0128/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 25/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
05/04/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
07/11/20251st1/799%100%+0.01
05/12/20257th8/1597%0%-0.97
02/01/20265th9/488%20%-0.68
23/01/20266th11/142%0%-0.42
30/01/20266th28/10%62%+0.62
28/02/20262nd22/10%89%+0.89
28/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63