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4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 110

Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 119 · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 91 par7/09C6OR 91C6 @ Santa Anita 12/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fm 120 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Del Mar 23/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 98 par23/11C8OR 98C5 @ Santa Anita 16/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark16/02/2026 · OR 104 parC1 @ Santa Anita 29/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 109 · 7f Fas 120 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 109 par29/03C1OR 109C6 @ Santa Anita 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 107 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 107 parC1 @ Saratoga 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 110 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 110 par6/06C1OR 110C0 @ Del Mar 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 109 · 6f 122 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 109 parC0 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 108 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 108 par27/09C?OR 108projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Santa AnitaEmisael Jaramillo?1st1st−0
2026-07-26Del MarEmisael Jaramillo?1st1st0
2026-06-06SaratogaA Fresu?3rd4th−0
2026-05-02Santa AnitaTyler Baze?3rd9th−5
2026-03-29Santa AnitaEmisael Jaramillo?2nd3rd−0
2026-02-16Santa AnitaTyler Baze?2nd7th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0916/026/0627/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/202512th40/10%0%0.00
12/10/20256th8/158%29%-0.29
23/11/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
16/02/20262nd12/137%75%+0.38
29/03/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
02/05/20263rd7/491%60%-0.31
06/06/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
26/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
27/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07