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Mad House

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 108

Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 29/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark29/06/2025 · OR 86 par29/06C6OR 86C5 @ Canterbury Park 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 6f Slo 119 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 95 parC6 @ Canterbury Park 24/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 103 · 6f 117 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 103 par24/08C6OR 103C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 106 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 106 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 103 · 6f 118 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 103 par6/03C6OR 103C3 @ Oaklawn Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f 118C1 @ Churchill Downs 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 106 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 106 par30/05C1OR 106C0 @ Del Mar 26/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 109 · 6f 122 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 109 parC0 @ Keeneland 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 112 · 6f 121 · beat its mark02/10/2026 · OR 112 par2/10C?OR 112projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02KeenelandSonny Leon?3rd3rd−0
2026-07-26Del MarSonny Leon?4th4th0
2026-05-30Churchill DownsPaco Lopez?5th6th−0
2026-04-11Oaklawn ParkPaco Lopez?1st4th−3
2026-03-06Tampa Bay DownsSonny Leon?1st7th−5
2025-11-01Del MarLuis Saez?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/061/1130/052/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
24/07/20251st1/599%100%+0.01
24/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
01/11/202514th25/10%0%0.00
06/03/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
11/04/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
30/05/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
26/07/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
02/10/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03