11
T O Elvis
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 115
Keeneland · Race 8 - Cygames Breeders' Cup Sprint - Grade 1 · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Ryusei Sakai | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |