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4

Cabo Spirit

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 114

Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By PDJF - Grade 1 · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent West Coast-trained raider who belied his advancing years when winning 5-runner Grade 2 City of Hope Mile at Santa Anita by head from El Potente last month. Needs a career best to be involved.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 118 par27/09C?OR 118C2 @ Del Mar 29/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 119 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 119 parC1 @ Santa Anita 28/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 116 · 1m1f Gd 125 · beat its mark28/12/2025 · OR 116 par28/12C1OR 116C0 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 118 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 118 parC0 @ Santa Anita 08/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 118 par8/03C?OR 118C6 @ Santa Anita 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 115 · 1m1f Fm 124 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 115 parC0 @ Del Mar 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 117 · 1m1f Fm 121 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 117 par27/07C?OR 117C0 @ Del Mar 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 118 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 118 parC0 @ Santa Anita 26/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 117 · 1m 124 · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 117 par26/09C?OR 117projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Santa AnitaMike Smith?1st1st−0
2026-08-23Del MarMike Smith?4th4th−0
2026-07-27Del MarMike Smith?2nd2nd−0
2026-04-03Santa AnitaMike Smith?3rd9th−5
2026-03-08Santa AnitaMike Smith?6th6th−0
2026-01-24GulfstreamMike Smith?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0924/0127/0726/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20252nd12/137%80%+0.43
29/11/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
28/12/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
24/01/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
08/03/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
03/04/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
27/07/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
23/08/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
26/09/20261st14/126%100%+0.74