10

Lugal

6yo Horse · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 114

Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By PDJF - Grade 1 · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has had another light campaign and looked to be as good as ever when second in Al Quoz Sprint at Meydan in March. However, he's failed to match that both starts since and can be passed over here going beyond 7f for the first time since his debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 08/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 116 · 6f Gd 126 · below its mark08/12/2024 · OR 116 par8/12C?OR 116C0 @ Sha Tin 27/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 116 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark27/04/2025 · OR 116 par27/04C?OR 116C0 @ Meydan 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 114 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 114 par28/03C?OR 1141 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 114 · 6f GF 131 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 114 par20/061OR 114projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Royal AscotKatsuma Sameshima18th8th0
2026-03-28MeydanKatsuma Sameshima?2nd2nd0
2025-04-27Sha TinY Kawada?5th5th0
2024-12-08Sha TinA Nishimura?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1227/0428/0320/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +7.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/202411th50/10%23%+0.23
27/04/20255th80/10%67%+0.67
28/03/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
20/06/20268th40/10%59%+0.59