14
Puerto Rico
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 14 · OR 115
Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By PDJF - Grade 1 · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | W Buick | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | York | R L Moore | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | C Soumillon | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | C Soumillon | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | R L Moore | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | C Soumillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 04/10/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |