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7

Qirat

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 108

Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By PDJF - Grade 1 · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-priced winner of the Sussex at Goodwood last year and then finished well down the field in last year's running of this at Del Mar. Has largely given his running this season, scoring in Group 2 Prix Daniel Wildenstein at Longchamp last time. Seems best when allowed a lead.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 114 par1/11C?OR 1141 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 114 · 1m Goo 128 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 114 par1 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 112 · 1m113y Goo 134 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 112 par5/061OR 1121 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 109 par1 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 113 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 113 par28/071OR 1131 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 113 · 1m Goo 136 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 113 · 1m Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 113 par29/081OR 1131 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 113 · 7f6y Gd 132 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ ParisLongchamp 03/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 113 · 7f209y GS 128 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 113 par3/101OR 113projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03ParisLongchampS De Sousa11st1st−0
2026-09-12DoncasterS De Sousa13rd3rd−0
2026-08-29GoodwoodH Crouch12nd2nd−0
2026-07-29GoodwoodColin Keane19th9th0
2026-07-28GoodwoodColin Keane14th4th−0
2026-06-27YorkS De Sousa11st2nd−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1127/0629/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
28/03/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
05/06/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
27/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
28/07/20264th4/179%57%-0.22
29/07/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
29/08/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
12/09/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
03/10/20261st9/153%100%+0.47