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6

Zulu Kingdom

4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 116

Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile Presented By PDJF - Grade 1 · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Commentary

NON RUNNER.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 107 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 107 par8/03C5OR 107C0 @ Churchill Downs 03/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 112 · 1m110y Gd 122 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 112 parC1 @ Saratoga 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 114 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 114 par4/07C1OR 114C0 @ Saratoga 01/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 111 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 111 parC0 @ Keeneland 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 115 par10/04C?OR 115C1 @ Saratoga 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 115 parC1 @ Saratoga 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 116 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 116 par5/07C1OR 116C0 @ Saratoga 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 113 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 113 parC0 @ Keeneland 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 115 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 115 par3/10C?OR 115projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03KeenelandJose Ortiz?5th5th0
2026-08-08SaratogaFlavien Prat?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05SaratogaFlavien Prat?1st2nd−0
2026-06-07SaratogaFlavien Prat?3rd4th−0
2026-04-10KeenelandFlavien Prat?1st1st0
2025-08-01SaratogaFlavien Prat?4th4th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/031/085/073/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/03/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
03/05/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
04/07/20251st3/1098%100%+0.02
01/08/20254th10/1195%40%-0.55
10/04/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
07/06/20263rd1/499%50%-0.49
05/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
08/08/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
03/10/20265th4/179%43%-0.36