2

Caprichosainfront

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 87

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Charles Town 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 1m110y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 65 par13/03C6OR 65C5 @ Charles Town 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 68 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 68 par23/05C7OR 68C7 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fm 122 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 70 parC7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 71 par25/06C7OR 71C5 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Delaware Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 par21/08C5OR 86C5 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Delaware Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 92 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 92 par3/10C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Delaware ParkMarvin Fernandez?4th2nd+2
2026-09-12Delaware ParkEmanuel Rosario?4th2nd+2
2026-08-21Delaware ParkEmanuel Rosario?4th2nd+2
2026-08-08Delaware ParkEmanuel Rosario?3rd1st+2
2026-06-25Delaware ParkCarol Cedeno?3rd3rd0
2026-06-06Delaware ParkRaul Mena?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/036/0621/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
04/04/20268th7/282%13%-0.69
23/05/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
06/06/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
25/06/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
08/08/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13
21/08/20264th14/126%25%-0.01
12/09/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
03/10/20264th10/147%67%+0.19