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9

Cross Of Valor

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 68

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 70 par20/09C6OR 70C9 @ Laurel Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 126 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 65 parC9 @ Laurel Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 62 · 6f 126 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 62 par13/03C9OR 62C9 @ Laurel Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m 126 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Laurel Park 14/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 67 par14/05C6OR 67C9 @ Laurel Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m110y 126C5 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 71 par19/07C5OR 71C5 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark10/10/2026 · OR 67 par10/10C7OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10Laurel ParkMychel Sanchez?2nd2nd0
2026-08-14Colonial DownsJeiron Barbosa?6th4th+2
2026-07-19Colonial DownsJeiron Barbosa?6th4th+2
2026-05-29Laurel ParkMychel Sanchez?1st3rd−2
2026-05-14Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?2nd1st+1
2026-04-03Laurel ParkYedsit Hazlewood?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/093/0419/0710/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20258th33/10%0%0.00
13/02/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19
13/03/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
03/04/20262nd6/594%80%-0.14
14/05/20262nd13/266%86%+0.20
29/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
19/07/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
14/08/20266th25/10%0%0.00
10/10/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01