11
Honor Thy Cookie
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 72
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 65/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |