6
Molly The Great
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Delaware Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Cipriano Gil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | Cipriano Gil | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | Chantal Sutherland | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | Wesley Ho | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 44/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 14/10/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |