5
Rehoboth Avenue
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Laurel Park | Charlie Marquez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |