3
Whimmoffortune
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Laurel Park | Yan Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |