4

Who's Got Cents

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 64

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS8/10C6C6 @ Laurel Park 01/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 76 par1/11C6OR 76C9 @ Penn National 06/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 56 · 5f 121 · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 56 par6/05C9OR 56projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-06Penn NationalInoel Beato?3rd5th−2
2025-11-01Laurel ParkJorge Sanchez Gonzalez?6th5th+1
2025-10-08Delaware ParkJorge Sanchez Gonzalez?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/101/116/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%

Delivery trend -30.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
01/11/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
06/05/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19