7
Bagley Cut
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 54
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Delaware Park | Luke Hoskins | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Delaware Park | Teshawn Hazelwood | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -61.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 16/10/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |