9

Mighty Moo

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 49

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength79%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/08C7C6 @ Laurel Park 26/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2026 · OR 47 par26/09C6OR 47projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Laurel ParkJose Vargas?5th2nd+3
2026-08-28Colonial DownsJareth Loveberry?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0826/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -35.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
26/09/20265th14/126%33%+0.07