Speed Focused

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 33

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength50%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-16	Laurel Park	Yomar Ortiz	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-09-25	Laurel Park	Yomar Ortiz	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-05-23	Laurel Park	Joseph Rocco Jr	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 24/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength83%

Delivery trend +30.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/05/2026	6th	14/1	26%	0%	-0.26
25/09/2026	2nd	16/1	16%	75%	+0.59
16/10/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34