5

Pediatrician

4yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 71

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 55 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 55 par7/06C6OR 55C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 64 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 64 par16/07C5OR 64C5 @ Charles Town 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 63 · 4f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 parC5 @ Charles Town 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 51 · 4f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 51 par21/06C5OR 51C8 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 59 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 59 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 59 par8/08C8OR 59C8 @ Laurel Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 60 parC7 @ Laurel Park 04/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 66 par4/10C7OR 66projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Laurel ParkJasmine McGuin?7th6th+1
2026-09-12Laurel ParkJasmine McGuin?1st1st0
2026-08-08Colonial DownsLuis Fuenmayor?10th10th0
2026-07-23Colonial DownsLuis Fuenmayor?5th5th0
2026-06-21Charles TownChristian Hiraldo?5th2nd+3
2026-06-06Charles TownChristian Hiraldo?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/066/068/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
27/06/20256th25/10%0%0.00
16/07/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
06/06/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
21/06/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
23/07/20265th25/10%0%0.00
08/08/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
12/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/10/20267th16/116%0%-0.16