6

Tyson's Delivery

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 69

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Laurel Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 79 par5/02C7OR 79C7 @ Laurel Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 61 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 61 par10/05C7OR 61C7 @ Laurel Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m1f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 10/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 69 par10/07C8OR 69C7 @ Colonial Downs 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 20/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 74 · 1m 123 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 74 par20/08C8OR 74C8 @ Laurel Park 27/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Laurel Park 18/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 82 · 1m 119 · below its mark18/10/2026 · OR 82 par18/10C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18Laurel ParkWarren Iii Ebow?6th6th0
2026-09-27Laurel ParkJean Briceno?4th4th0
2026-08-20Colonial DownsHoracio Karamanos?9th9th0
2026-07-26Colonial DownsHoracio Karamanos?7th6th+1
2026-07-10Colonial DownsHoracio Karamanos?1st1st0
2026-05-30Laurel ParkHoracio Karamanos?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0230/0520/0818/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20266th20/10%0%0.00
07/03/20266th25/10%0%0.00
10/05/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
30/05/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
10/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
26/07/20267th33/10%0%0.00
20/08/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
27/09/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
18/10/20266th20/10%17%+0.17