All The Hardways
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 96
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Laurel Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | Xavier Perez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Charles Town | Xavier Perez | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 10/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |