Apollo Ten
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10 · OR 99
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | Samuel Marin | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | Luan Machado | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | Dylan Davis | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2024-10-06 | Keeneland | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2024-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 10th | 2nd | +6 |
| 2024-08-11 | Saratoga | Manuel Franco | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/06/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 14/07/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/08/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 07/09/2024 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 06/10/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2025 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |