1
Bushido
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 96
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | Forest Boyce | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | Forest Boyce | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | Forest Boyce | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | Carlos Lopez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |