Don't Wait Up
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 101
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Laurel Park | Horacio Karamanos | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |