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7

Jungle Glow

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 86

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Meadowlands 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 5f 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 94 par5/10C5OR 94C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 94 · 7f 120 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Laurel Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f 126 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 80 par15/02C8OR 80C8 @ Laurel Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 81 par16/07C8OR 81C7 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fm 124 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 87 par20/08C5OR 87C8 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 88 parC5 @ Laurel Park 18/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 5f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2026 · OR 89 par18/10C5OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18Laurel ParkMartin Chuan?1st-1th+2
2026-09-05Colonial DownsMartin Chuan?1st2nd−1
2026-08-20Colonial DownsJeiron Barbosa?2nd0th+2
2026-07-31Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?1st1st0
2026-07-16Colonial DownsPaco Lopez?1st2nd−1
2026-06-19Laurel ParkJorge Ruiz?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1019/0620/0818/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/20252nd9/276%80%+0.04
01/11/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
15/02/20266th8/158%17%-0.41
19/06/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
16/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
31/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
20/08/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
05/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
18/10/20261st2/189%100%+0.11