Where's Ray
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Laurel Park | Joseph Rocco Jr | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | Joseph Rocco Jr | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | Jevian Toledo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |