5

Winston Wolf

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fair Grounds 27/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 103 · 1m1f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/01/2025 · OR 103 par27/01C6OR 103C8 @ Oaklawn Park 13/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark13/04/2025 · OR 102 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 23/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 103 par23/05C8OR 103C8 @ Churchill Downs 06/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 102 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark06/06/2025 · OR 102 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 102 par25/06C8OR 102C8 @ Ellis Park 16/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 97 · 1m1f 122 · below its mark16/08/2025 · OR 97 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 98 · 1m 122 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 98 par17/09C8OR 98C8 @ Gulfstream 01/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 92 par9/08C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Colonial DownsJorge Ruiz?2nd3rd−1
2026-03-01GulfstreamJesus Rios?8th9th−1
2025-09-17Churchill DownsAbel Cedillo?5th6th−1
2025-08-16Ellis ParkJoseph Rocco Jr?7th8th−1
2025-06-25Churchill DownsAbel Cedillo?6th7th−1
2025-06-06Churchill DownsAbel Cedillo?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/016/0617/099/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/01/20256th10/147%0%-0.47
13/04/20257th2/189%14%-0.75
23/05/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
06/06/20252nd16/116%89%+0.73
25/06/20256th12/137%0%-0.37
16/08/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
17/09/20255th10/147%50%+0.03
01/03/20268th40/10%0%0.00
09/08/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00